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Iraq Holds Oil Output at 1.4 Million Bpd as Gulf Exports Stay Blocked

Oil revenue funds roughly 90% of the budget, heightening the stakes of prolonged disruption.

Overview

  • Iraq’s oil minister said production will remain near 1.4 million barrels per day, far below pre‑war levels above 4 million bpd.
  • Southern maritime exports were halted after the US‑Israeli war with Iran disrupted tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.
  • About 200,000 barrels per day are currently moving by truck through neighboring countries including Turkey, Syria, and Jordan.
  • Baghdad is pursuing exports via Turkey’s Ceyhan pipeline, and officials say an agreement is expected soon though details are not finalized.
  • The oil ministry has asked the Kurdistan Regional Government to raise at least 100,000 bpd from Kirkuk to feed potential northbound flows.