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Iran’s Succession Scramble Narrows to Mojtaba Khamenei as Assembly Weighs Next Supreme Leader

Reports point to IRGC leverage over the selection under open threats from Israel.

Overview

  • No successor has been confirmed, but Reuters and the New York Times report Mojtaba Khamenei as the leading candidate and say he was outside Tehran during the fatal strikes on his father.
  • Members of the 88-seat Assembly of Experts have convened virtually, with reports of dispersed clerics and procedural strain as Iran International cites IRGC pressure to bypass a formal vote.
  • An Israeli strike destroyed a planned Assembly meeting site that officials said was empty, and Defense Minister Israel Katz warned any newly chosen Iranian leader would be a target for elimination.
  • Other potential picks in the succession discussion include Alireza Arafi, viewed by some outlets as a strong contender, along with Hassan Khomeini and Gholam‑Hossein Mohseni‑Ejei.
  • Mojtaba, a Hojjatoleslam with close IRGC ties, has been under U.S. Treasury sanctions since 2019 and faces allegations of opaque overseas wealth and involvement in past repression.