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Iran Reimposes Hormuz Controls and Fires on Tanker as U.S. Blockade Stands

Prediction markets point to delays in any deal.

Overview

  • Iran reclosed the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday and said armed forces are managing ship traffic under new directives.
  • Two tanker owners reported Iranian radio orders to halt transit, with one supertanker reporting gunfire and turning back, in what Iranian state media cast as enforcement of control.
  • The U.S. continues a naval blockade tied to Iranian ports, and Iran says it will not reopen the waterway unless Washington lifts those restrictions.
  • Diplomacy shows little progress as Islamabad talks produced no compromise on uranium enrichment and Tehran did not confirm the president’s claim of a nuclear pause.
  • Markets swung on the flip‑flop in Strait headlines, with near‑term peace odds dropping and Bitcoin spiking on reopening reports before slipping after the renewed closure.