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Iran Reaffirms Proxy Support as USIran Memorandum Faces Fragile Implementation

Tehran's demand that Lebanon be central to the deal adds political and technical hurdles that could derail the memorandum’s 60‑day verification window.

Overview

  • Iranian parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said Monday, after state funeral events in Tehran, that the US memorandum is “difficult but possible” to implement and vowed continued political and material support for Hezbollah and allied groups.
  • Under a US‑mediated framework signed on June 26, Israel agreed to staged withdrawals from two southern Lebanese villages that are tied to verified disarmament and Lebanese army deployment.
  • Key technical disputes remain unresolved, including IAEA on‑site access to bombed facilities, who controls roughly $6 billion in frozen Iranian assets, and the sequencing of sanctions relief versus independent verification.
  • Hezbollah has publicly refused to disarm and condemned the IsraelLebanon deal, and Israeli officials say withdrawals will only begin after the Lebanese Armed Forces and US CENTCOM confirm they are ready to assume security.
  • If the memorandum collapses, negotiators warn shipping through the Strait of Hormuz could be disrupted and fighting in southern Lebanon is likely to resume, prolonging civilian harm and blocking economic relief tied to frozen funds.