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IPPR Warns China Supply Shock Could Put 90,000 UK Net-Zero Jobs at Risk

A modelled year-long break in Chinese battery inputs would halve UK battery output, leaving roughly 583,000 electric cars unbuilt.

Overview

  • IPPR modelling links the vulnerability to heavy UK reliance on imported cathodes and anodes for gigafactories.
  • The study estimates risks to about 90,000 jobs across EV assembly, battery production and supply chains, including 67,000 in vehicle manufacturing.
  • China’s control of roughly 80% to 90% of global critical-mineral refining increases exposure across batteries and other clean-energy components.
  • The think tank urges onshoring, diversified sourcing, joint ventures, stockpiles and “keepshoring” to strengthen resilience.
  • Government officials say the UK seeks cooperation with China without compromising security, with upcoming visits and business surveys highlighting contested trade expectations.