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Investigation Finds Viral Polymarket Wins Were Largely Fabricated

The report shows paid creators used fake platform interfaces with undisclosed marketing payments prompting Polymarket to promise an audit

Overview

  • A Wall Street Journal review of 1,105 social videos found about 70% showed fabricated Polymarket bets that totaled nearly $1.9 million and included roughly $900,000 in celebrated but fake winnings.
  • The investigation identified techniques such as simulated site interfaces, nearly identical counterfeit web pages, recycled clips and staged reactions used to create the illusion of big payouts.
  • A central example involved creator George Makihara, whose viral clip claiming a $100,000 win on a TrumpMcDonald’s” bet appears to show an old or unrelated clip rather than a real January trade.
  • Polymarket worked with a marketing firm called Virality that paid creators $2,000 to $3,000 per month and instructed them to keep the relationship confidential, while the content reached about 140 million views.
  • Polymarket has pledged an audit to rebuild trust and compliance, and regulators and consumer watchdogs could examine undisclosed paid promotions and the platform’s offshore structure for U.S. targeting risks.