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Indus Waters Showdown Reaches Deadline as Court Orders India to Hand Over Dam Operations Data

Noncompliance could trigger ex parte proceedings with adverse inferences.

Overview

  • A Court of Arbitration constituted under the Indus Waters Treaty has ruled the pact remains in force and affirmed jurisdiction despite India's stance that it placed the treaty in abeyance.
  • A binding order requires India to submit daily inflow and outflow data, storage levels, and operational logs for Kishanganga and Ratle/Baglihar by February 9, 2026.
  • India has halted Permanent Indus Commission meetings and routine treaty data-sharing since April 2025 after the Pahalgam attack.
  • Project acceleration on the western rivers continues, including NHPC’s February 5 tender for the 1,856 MW Sawalkot plant, fast-tracking of Pakal Dul for December 2026, targets for Ratle in 2028, and pushes on Kiru, Kwar, and Dulhasti Stage-II.
  • Reservoir operations have affected downstream flows, with all Salal Dam gates closed and reports of sharp drops at Pakistan’s Marala headworks, intensifying Pakistani concerns over agricultural and food security.