Overview
- The India Meteorological Department says the southwest monsoon is likely to arrive over Kerala within days after an earlier forecast was revised because of delayed progress.
- The IMD’s second‑stage outlook projects about 90% of the Long Period Average for seasonal rainfall, a figure the agency links to a developing El Niño that can suppress monsoon rains.
- High pressure over the mid latitudes is driving an early‑June warm spell in parts of the U.S. and the U.K., with many local forecasts showing highs into the 80s and pockets near 90°F.
- Forecast guidance calls for a frontal boundary to bring scattered showers and thunderstorms late in the week into the weekend, followed by a short‑term cooldown in affected regions.
- Forecasters and health officials warn of rising heat‑health, air quality, and localized flood risks this season and advise the public to follow local watches and warnings as conditions evolve.