Overview
- The India Meteorological Department says the southwest monsoon is likely to reach the South Bay of Bengal, the Andaman Sea, and the Andaman and Nicobar Islands in the May 14–20 window.
- IMD expects stronger southwesterly winds with widespread light to moderate rain and isolated heavy to very heavy spells over Kerala and Tamil Nadu during that week.
- Pre-monsoon thunderstorms are already active across southern India, with lightning and gusty winds reported in several districts.
- Australia’s weather bureau has declared the northern wet season over, a shift that helps the equatorial rain belt slide north toward South Asia.
- The IMD’s 92% of long-period average rainfall forecast, linked to a developing El Niño, signals tighter water and planting decisions for farmers and planners.