Particle.news
Download on the App Store

IFS Says Tax Threshold Freeze Hits Middle Earners Hardest, Pulls Millions Into Higher Bands by 2031

New analysis finds fiscal drag from the extended freeze raises larger cash sums from typical salaries despite assurances that the richest would shoulder the greatest burden.

Overview

  • The Chancellor extended the income tax threshold freeze to 2031 in the November Budget, lengthening it to a nine‑year policy.
  • IFS calculations show someone earning £48,000 will pay £603.50 more by 2031, compared with £393.59 for an individual on £150,000.
  • The watchdog estimates 5.2 million lower-paid workers will be brought into income tax and about 4.8 million people will move into the 40p higher rate.
  • The freeze was assessed as the single largest revenue-raising measure in the Budget, according to the IFS.
  • HM Treasury cites its distributional analysis indicating the top 10% lose most overall, while the Opposition brands the policy a stealth tax and highlights that Rachel Reeves previously ruled out an extension in 2024.