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Ifo Chief Warns Tougher Rent Cap Would Deepen Germany’s Housing Shortage

The institute cites high construction costs alongside steep new-build rent premiums to press for supply-focused measures.

Overview

  • Ifo president Clemens Fuest answered Justice Minister Stephanie Hubig’s call to tighten the Mietpreisbremse by arguing stricter caps would worsen scarcity and curb labor mobility.
  • Fuest said the burden would fall most on younger people and job seekers, who face the greatest difficulty entering tight rental markets.
  • Ifo’s calculations show new-build rents average about 30% above existing rents, rising to nearly 50% in sought-after big cities.
  • The institute warns rent caps can freeze the market by discouraging moves, with many tenants staying in oversized flats because downsizing often costs more.
  • With housing construction described as stalled by high building costs, Ifo urges policies that spur new building and improve use of the existing housing stock, rather than tighter caps.