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IEA Says the Age of Electricity Has Arrived, With Grid Bottlenecks Now the Decisive Test

Rapid adoption of regulatory fixes with advanced connection technologies could connect over a terawatt of stalled projects.

Overview

  • The IEA’s Electricity 2026 report forecasts global power demand to grow about 3.6% annually through 2030, with advanced economies returning to sustained load growth driven by data centers, EVs and heat pumps.
  • Low‑emissions sources are on track to supply roughly 50% of global generation by 2030 as renewables and nuclear expand, while natural gas output also increases and power‑sector emissions are expected to plateau.
  • More than 2,500 GW of projects remain stuck in interconnection queues worldwide, and annual investment in transmission and distribution needs to rise by about 50% by 2030 to keep pace.
  • The IEA estimates 1,200–1,600 GW could be integrated sooner through regulatory reform, flexible connection agreements and grid‑enhancing tools such as dynamic line ratings, reconductoring and advanced power‑flow control.
  • Energy storage is scaling as a key flexibility resource, with rapid utility‑scale additions in California, Germany, Texas, South Australia and the UK, a maturing and increasingly concentrated European market led by Enel, and strong U.S. residential growth in 2025 as costs fell sharply.