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IBM Shares Tumble on Anthropic COBOL AI Fears — Analysts See Opportunity

IBM counters that the risk is overstated, citing watsonx tools, platform advantages, solid cash flow.

Overview

  • IBM fell 13% on Feb. 23 to $223.35, its worst single-day drop since 2000, and is down roughly 27%–29% for the month.
  • The slide followed Anthropic’s blog highlighting Claude Code for COBOL modernization, stoking worries about mainframe and legacy-services revenue.
  • IBM said it already offers watsonx Code Assistant for Z and argued that code translation is not the same as system-level modernization, a point emphasized by SVP Rob Thomas.
  • Jefferies analyst Brent Thill kept a Buy rating with a $370 target, calling the decline a near-term sentiment issue, and the average target near $338 points to potential upside.
  • IBM also unveiled a Deepgram collaboration to bring speech technology into watsonx Orchestrate, while coverage underscored strong free cash flow and dividend coverage.