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IBM Says One‑Third of Slipped Enterprise Deals Have Returned and Expects Most by Year‑End

Management attributes the quarter’s shortfall to a sharp jump in hardware prices that pushed clients to buy servers first and forced IBM to lower near‑term revenue guidance.

Overview

  • Company leaders told investors on July 23 that about one‑third of the large enterprise deals delayed in Q2 have already closed and that roughly 75% should return to IBM before the end of the year.
  • IBM says a near‑60% rise in semiconductor and hardware prices prompted many Fortune 100 clients to redirect capital spending into servers, memory and storage, which delayed upfront software purchases.
  • The timing shock led IBM to cut full‑year revenue growth guidance to 4–5% and to lower expected software growth to about 6–8% for 2026, while keeping a $1 billion free cash flow uplift target.
  • Quarterly results showed acute weakness in mainframes and transaction processing, with Z mainframe revenue down about 42% and transaction‑processing software falling roughly 9%, reflecting the hardware‑led pullforward.
  • IBM is defending its software franchise as infrastructure‑oriented and largely AI‑resilient, highlighting that about 80% of software revenue is subscription, and it is increasing long‑term bets such as the HRL quantum acquisition.