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Hyperliquid Expands Into Prediction and Pre‑IPO Markets, Drawing Big Trading and Scrutiny

Using its existing limit‑order‑book to spin up binary plus pre‑IPO markets rapidly, Hyperliquid has driven heavy trading and token inflows, resulting in warnings from legacy exchanges.

Overview

  • Hyperliquid rolled out HIP‑4 binary outcome contracts and recorded 6.05 million contracts traded across about 3,000 users on the first day, with individual trades ranging from roughly $54,000 to $6 million.
  • Crypto Briefing and other reports say the new binary markets matched Polymarket’s Bitcoin binary volume within roughly two weeks of the HIP‑4 launch.
  • The platform used its centralized limit‑order‑book, shared collateral and active market makers to launch new markets quickly instead of building separate automated liquidity pools for each contract.
  • Investor interest has followed the product push: HYPE token prices jumped sharply and spot HYPE ETFs from 21Shares and Bitwise drew about $53 million in early inflows, and FalconX flagged a Coinbase‑Circle USDC tie‑up that could materially boost revenue.
  • Legacy exchanges including CME and ICE have raised manipulation and oversight concerns, and Hyperliquid’s offshore structure means U.S. regulatory review could reshape how its HIP‑3 and HIP‑4 products operate going forward.