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How Netanyahu’s Pitch Led Trump to War With Iran

U.S. intelligence warned the regime-change plan was unrealistic.

Overview

  • Netanyahu’s hourlong presentation, delivered Feb. 11 in the White House Situation Room, urged a joint U.S.-Israeli push to topple Iran’s government.
  • He showed a video naming possible post-regime figures, including Reza Pahlavi, and outlined a four-part plan that ranged from killing the supreme leader to installing a secular replacement.
  • U.S. intelligence assessed the first two goals as feasible but called the uprising-and-replacement scenarios unrealistic, with CIA Director John Ratcliffe labeling them farcical.
  • Trump signaled approval in the room and later brushed past the warnings, saying regime change would be Iran’s problem rather than a U.S. objective.
  • Senior advisers split over the move as Vice President J.D. Vance warned of regional chaos, weapons shortfalls, and oil price spikes, while Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth urged strikes and others voiced caution without trying to stop the decision.