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Houthis Stay Out of Iran’s Expanding Conflict as Signs Point to Possible Maritime Escalation

Assassination fears, U.S. warnings via Oman, strained arsenals keep the group on hold.

Overview

  • Yemen’s Iran‑aligned Houthis have not joined the widening IranU.S.‑Israel confrontation, even as other Tehran‑backed groups resume attacks, according to new AP and AFP reporting.
  • Iran’s new supreme leader signaled potential new fronts in a written message, which analysts interpret as increasing the likelihood of future Houthi involvement.
  • Two Houthi officials told AP that weapon stockpiles have thinned since the 2023 Red Sea campaign, though another Houthi official said drone inventories remain large.
  • Houthi leaders were warned via Omani mediators against escalation and told their phones are under surveillance, and some leaders were instructed to avoid public appearances due to assassination concerns, AP reported.
  • Analysts say the group is recruiting, producing arms locally and reinforcing Yemen’s Red Sea coast, with any move likely to target shipping and oil infrastructure, even as a Saudi truce and fears of heavy retaliation weigh against immediate action.