Overview
- California’s June 2 primary ballot is set with eight Democrats and two Republicans after Tom Steyer filed last before the deadline.
- UC Berkeley-Politico’s latest poll shows Steve Hilton at 19%, with Tom Steyer at 13% and Katie Porter, Eric Swalwell, and Chad Bianco clustered at 11%.
- An Emerson College poll released the same day places Eric Swalwell first at 17%, followed by Hilton at 13%, with Bianco and Steyer at 11% and Porter at 8%.
- Democratic Party chair Rusty Hicks has urged low-polling Democrats to exit to avoid splitting votes, though only Ian Calderon has withdrawn and he endorsed Swalwell.
- Modeling by strategist Paul Mitchell estimates roughly a 27% chance of a Republican-vs.-Republican November if Democrats do not consolidate, with 17% to 25% of voters still undecided in recent surveys.