Overview
- Kamala Harris has said she "might" run in 2028 in a conversation with the Rev. Al Sharpton, though she has not announced a campaign.
- Recent surveys show strong interest from Democratic voters, including 50% support in a Harvard/Harris/HarrisX poll and leads in YouGov and Echelon Insights polling.
- Prediction markets tell a different story, with Kalshi and Polymarket pricing her nomination chances at just over 9% as of April 30.
- A USA TODAY columnist who backed her in 2024 now urges her not to run, and Third Way’s Matt Bennett says she would face a burden to explain past failures and unclear messaging.
- Supporters note she retains name recognition and a donor network that raised more than $1 billion in 2024, while new analysis warns Democrats could face higher risk if they again choose an establishment continuity candidate in a post‑Trump field.