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Grok’s Viral ‘Prediction’ of Iran Strike Date Came From a Jerusalem Post Test

Reporters emphasize a coincidence amplified on X after confirmed U.S.–Israel strikes that killed Ayatollah Khamenei.

Overview

  • U.S. and Israeli forces carried out coordinated strikes on Iran on February 28, with President Donald Trump announcing and Iranian state media confirming the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
  • Iran responded with missile attacks targeting Gulf states including Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates, according to multiple reports.
  • The claim that an AI foresaw the strike stems from a February 25 Jerusalem Post exercise asking four chatbots to name a single day for a hypothetical U.S. strike.
  • xAI’s Grok uniquely answered “Saturday, February 28” and later reiterated the date while noting factors that could push timing into early March; other models offered broader or different windows.
  • Screenshots of Grok’s earlier output spread widely on X, and Elon Musk wrote, “Prediction of the future is the best measure of intelligence,” even as outlets stressed the test was hypothetical and not evidence of access to classified plans.