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Greens Win Narrowly in Baden-Württemberg as SPD Crashes, Berlin Feels Fallout and Bavaria’s Map Shifts

Party leaders move to enforce discipline before the Rheinland-Pfalz test.

Overview

  • Cem Özdemir’s Greens took about 30.2% to the CDU’s 29.7% in Baden-Württemberg, securing a razor-thin victory.
  • The SPD slumped to roughly 5.5% in the state, a record low, with reporting of a temporary gag order to mute public criticism until March 22.
  • CDU candidate Manuel Hagel proposed splitting the minister-president term with Özdemir, a suggestion Özdemir rejected and commentators derided.
  • In Berlin, Chancellor Friedrich Merz pushed fresh reforms on pensions and competitiveness while rejecting new federal borrowing, signaling the coalition’s intention to press on.
  • Bavarian local results showed fragmentation, AfD entries in several councils and numerous runoffs, with standout twists including an SPD surge in Mittenwald, a last-precinct decider in the Weilheim landrat race, and list surprises such as Andreas Magg’s return to Olching’s council.