Overview
- The latest YouGov poll for Sky News/The Times puts Reform UK on 23%, the Greens on 21% (up four), and Labour and the Conservatives tied on 16%, with the Liberal Democrats at 14% from fieldwork conducted Sunday and Monday with 2,073 adults.
- In age groups under 50, the Greens lead all parties, including backing from 49% of 18–24-year-olds and 27% of 25–49-year-olds, according to YouGov’s breakdown.
- Hannah Spencer won Gorton and Denton with 14,980 votes, a 4,402 majority over Reform, as Labour fell to 9,364; she was sworn in on Monday as the Greens’ fifth MP, their largest-ever Commons presence.
- Keir Starmer told a meeting of Labour MPs that a “mainstream majority” do not want Nigel Farage or Zack Polanski as prime minister, as figures including Sadiq Khan urged Labour to stop trying to compete with Reform.
- A separate City AM/Freshwater poll shows Reform at 30%, Labour and the Conservatives at 18% and the Greens at 15%, with 73% saying Starmer should take responsibility for the by-election defeat and 56% judging his position untenable, while pollsters caution the Green bounce could fade and point to May’s local elections as the next test.