Overview
- YouGov analysis reported by The Times shows the Greens on roughly 13–15% nationally, with 15% of 2024 Labour voters saying they would now back the party.
- New Green leader Zack Polanski has rapidly lifted the party’s profile, with recognition among Labour voters, a near‑doubling of membership to about 126,000, and strong social media growth.
- Senior Labour figures say the party is losing more voters to the Greens than to Reform UK, criticizing a strategy they describe as fixated on the right‑wing challenge.
- A Survation poll for Thursday’s Caerphilly by‑election puts Reform on 42% and Plaid Cymru on 38%, leaving Labour trailing and threatening Welsh Labour’s working position in the Senedd.
- A Beaufort Research poll for next year’s Senedd elections puts Reform at 30% in Wales, ahead of Labour on 23% and Plaid on 22%, with projections suggesting Reform as the largest party but unlikely to form a government; separately, Nigel Farage is pressing Labour to disclose current membership figures after months of silence.