Overview
- Projections from ARD/Infratest dimap and ZDF/Forschungsgruppe Wahlen show the Greens at roughly 31.5–32% to the CDU’s 29–30%, with the AfD near 18%, the SPD around 5.4–5.5%, and FDP and the Left near 4.4–4.5%.
- On these numbers the Greens and CDU would hold a clear majority together, and Özdemir urged a continuation of their coalition on an equal footing.
- The AfD posts its strongest result in the state to date, consolidating third place in the new parliament.
- SPD state leader Andreas Stoch said he will step down after the party plunged to a near-threshold result.
- Turnout climbed to about 71.5% in the first state election with a two‑vote system and voting expanded to 16‑ and 17‑year‑olds.