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GOP Confidence in Trump’s Handling of the Economy Falls as Iran Conflict Pushes Up Prices

New polling suggests the shift could increase midterm risk by eroding Republican economic unity and turning swing voters further away from the president.

Overview

  • A new APNORC poll, conducted May 14–18 and reported May 20, finds Republican approval of Trump’s handling of the economy fell from about 80% in February to roughly 60% in mid‑May.
  • Trump’s overall approval stands at 37%, up slightly from April, while only about one‑third of U.S. adults approve of his handling of the war with Iran and his broader foreign policy.
  • Voters link rising gasoline and household costs to the Iran conflict, with multiple respondents saying higher fuel bills have directly strained family budgets.
  • Immigration has regained some traction for Trump, with about 45% of adults approving his approach and roughly eight in ten Republicans saying they back his immigration policy.
  • Despite economic unease, Trump’s control of the GOP remains strong, shown by his endorsed candidate’s victory over Rep. Thomas Massie, a result that keeps his influence intact even as analysts warn of electoral consequences.