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Goldman Raises Hyperscaler AI Capex Forecast to $5.3 Trillion Through 2030

Goldman says private infrastructure, including real estate investors, will supply most of the funding and reshape capital flows for the data‑centre buildout.

Overview

  • Citing Tuesday's note, Goldman increased its combined capital‑expenditure forecast for Meta, Microsoft, Amazon and Alphabet to $5.3 trillion for the 2025–2030 period.
  • Goldman estimates total industry spending on data centres, power and computing could reach about $7.6 trillion over the next five years, signaling a multi‑year investment cycle.
  • The bank projects the four hyperscalers may spend as much as $725 billion this year, a sharp acceleration from roughly $360 billion in 2025 that will affect supplier and utility earnings.
  • Goldman expects private infrastructure and real‑estate capital to take a larger financing role, which would shift more returns into private funds and away from public equity markets.
  • Investors remain concerned about long‑term monetisation because the timing and magnitude of commercial returns from AI products lag the rapid pace of deployed capital.