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Goldman Downgrades Intuit to Sell as Shares Plunge

The downgrade reflects investor fear that low‑cost AI tax services could shave TurboTax revenue and further shrink Intuit’s market value.

Overview

  • Goldman Sachs cut its rating on Intuit to Sell and lowered the 12‑month price target to $276 from $519, a move that triggered a sharp stock drop.
  • The downgrade, which hit the market on Tuesday, focused on the threat from new AI‑driven tax offerings that could reduce TurboTax market share and average revenue per user.
  • Analysts estimate an AI model could process a standard return for roughly $0.12 compared with TurboTax’s average revenue of about $162 per return, a gap that creates room for low‑cost competitors.
  • Intuit announced a 17% workforce reduction of about 3,000 roles and recently cut full‑year TurboTax revenue guidance as it accelerates AI partnerships with firms such as Anthropic.
  • Investors have punished the stock this year, leaving Intuit as the S&P 500’s worst performer and erasing roughly $131 billion of market value over the past year.