Overview
- Global and domestic gold fell sharply on Wednesday after President Donald Trump said the interim agreement with Iran was over, triggering a near‑term crude oil surge that lifted US Treasury yields and the dollar and weighed on bullion.
- On July 8, COMEX futures plunged roughly $90–95 an ounce and India’s MCX August contract dropped about Rs 2,308 per 10 grams while Pakistan’s APGJSA reported a Rs 4,700 per tola fall, reflecting the immediate selloff.
- A snap rebound followed on July 9 as value buying and a softer dollar helped COMEX recover by about $36 an ounce and MCX August futures climbed roughly Rs 1,038 per 10 grams, with Pakistan’s rates rising ~Rs 3,600 per tola.
- Traders say the chain of transmission was oil→higher inflation expectations→higher nominal yields and a firmer dollar, which can pressure gold even as it remains a safe‑haven asset if real yields rise.
- Markets remain fragile because further US‑Iran developments and signals from the Federal Reserve can quickly shift rate expectations, and local pricing rules, taxes and currency moves will continue to drive sharp domestic swings for consumers and jewellers.