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Gold Holds Near $4,100 After Renewed U.S.-Iran Strikes and Fed Uncertainty

Rising oil and inflation risks are lifting expectations of higher U.S. interest rates, which increase the cost of holding non‑yielding gold.

Overview

  • Spot gold has settled around $4,100 per ounce after a multi-day selloff and a partial rebound that left the metal on track for a modest weekly loss this week.
  • Fresh U.S.-Iran military exchanges on Thursday pushed oil prices higher and sent investors back into safe-haven assets, giving bullion short-lived support.
  • Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s June meeting showed division among policymakers, which added short-term demand for gold but also kept the chance of more rate hikes alive.
  • HSBC cut its 2026–27 average gold forecasts on Thursday, citing a stronger dollar and a hawkish shift in U.S. rate expectations while noting central-bank purchases have moderated and H1 ETF outflows were heavy.
  • Local price moves differ by market because currency changes, import duties and weak retail demand in places such as India and Pakistan mean international swings translate unevenly for consumers.