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Global Study Finds One in Ten Butterfly Species Have Shifted Ranges

Climate change is the dominant driver, leaving many tropical species vulnerable because major monitoring gaps hide where they are moving

Overview

  • A Monash University–led meta-analysis published Wednesday found that roughly 10% of known butterfly species have already changed their geographic ranges, drawing on 6,182 range‑shift records for 1,758 species across 105 countries.
  • The study links nearly 80% of recorded shifts to climate change and extreme weather, and reports about 80% of studied species showing range expansions, 27% showing contractions, and 22% showing elevational change.
  • Researchers warn that expansions are easier to detect than disappearances, meaning contractions and local losses may be undercounted and some species could rapidly reverse course if warming continues.
  • The analysis reveals major geographic blind spots in Central Africa, Southeast Asia, New Guinea and the Amazon Basin, and calls for expanded, multilingual monitoring that includes citizen science and expert networks.
  • Authors recommend concrete conservation responses such as protecting and restoring habitat, creating ecological corridors and microrefugia, and aligning efforts with global biodiversity targets to help species track suitable climates and host plants.