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Global Fight Over Critical Minerals Sharpens as U.S. and Allies Seek to Break China’s Processing Dominance

Western governments are accelerating diplomacy, stockpiles and domestic testing to reduce a strategic vulnerability in mineral processing

Overview

  • China currently controls a large share of global refining and processing for rare earths and related minerals, giving it leverage over supplies for batteries, semiconductors and defense systems.
  • Washington and partners have stepped up measures that include diplomatic outreach, proposals for a privileged trading bloc and a $10 billion seed idea for strategic stockpiles to diversify supply sources.
  • The U.S. is also funding domestic capacity building through programs like the University of UtahDARPA SMART testbed to speed up extraction, separation and industrial validation of critical materials.
  • Countries with untapped deposits such as Pakistan face a strategic choice between existing ties with China and new Western investment offers that would shift supply chains outside Chinese processing networks.
  • If processing capacity moves to allied jurisdictions, the short-term effect will be higher costs and more project work at mines and plants, while the longer-term effect could be more resilient supply chains for clean energy and defense technology.