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Germany Nears 23°C as Forecasters Flag February Record Risk and Weekend Cooldown

A plume of subtropical air funneled by a shifted jet stream is propelling the unusual late‑winter warmth.

Overview

  • The German Weather Service forecast highs up to 23°C on Friday, especially along the Upper Rhine and in the Breisgau, putting the 23.1°C national February mark from 1900 within reach.
  • Multiple stations already logged unusually high late‑February readings on Thursday, including 20.4°C in Metzingen, 19.8°C in Weilerswist and 17.6°C in Oberstdorf.
  • Forecasters expect a weekend moderation with more cloud, pockets of rain and temperatures mostly in the low to mid‑teens, staying milder in the east and cooler in the north.
  • Model outlooks for early March diverge, with some European runs signaling a colder easterly turn while American guidance favors continued mild but changeable conditions, leaving experts split.
  • The warm spell is advancing plant development and boosting hazel and alder pollen, and the DWD’s winter review highlights temperatures above average with comparatively low precipitation.