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German Housing Permits Jump in Q1 as Recovery Shows Strain

Higher borrowing costs now put the rebound at risk.

Overview

  • Destatis, which published the figures Monday, said March approvals rose 11.5% to 21,800 and the first quarter reached 63,500, up 14.6% year on year.
  • The gains were broad, with new single-family homes up 13.7%, two-family homes up 23.2%, apartments in multi-family buildings up 14.9%, and conversions up 12.3%.
  • Economists caution that the Iran war has pushed up ten-year mortgage rates by about 0.3 percentage points since early March, raising financing and material costs.
  • Business sentiment in construction slumped in April as the ifo climate index fell from −19.3 to −28.4, and 9.2% of firms reported shortages of basic materials such as steel, concrete, and insulation.
  • Industry leaders say approvals still fall short of demand by roughly 10,000 per month, which means tight housing supply and high rents are unlikely to ease soon.