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German High‑Speed Rail Faces New Rivals as Flixtrain and Italo Seek Track Access

A pending Bundesnetzagentur ruling on multi‑year track guarantees will determine whether challengers can secure the certainty needed for billion‑euro train investments and a 2027–2028 market push.

Overview

  • Last Friday the Bundesnetzagentur held a hearing on a formal complaint by Italo that asks for multi‑year trassen guarantees so the company can begin German services as early as 2028.
  • Italo has proposed buying dozens of high‑speed trains and signing long maintenance contracts worth billions to run about 50 daily connections on routes such as MunichBerlinHamburg and Munich–Cologne.
  • Flixtrain has publicly pledged a rapid scale‑up, saying it will double its services over the next two years, run new Talgo/Siemens high‑speed trainsets at up to 230 km/h and start direct Munich services from 2028.
  • DB InfraGo opposes guaranteed multi‑year slots, arguing that major nodes and high‑performance lines are already congested and that current law and practice allocate trassen on an annual basis.
  • A regulator decision expected in the coming weeks could force changes to how trassen (fixed train time slots on tracks) are allocated, with direct effects on ticket prices, service frequency, network reliability and the business case for new entrants.