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German Business Confidence Falls Again as Ifo Index Drops to 87.6

Economists cite unmet reform hopes plus weak orders, with prospects hinging on 2026 investment.

Overview

  • The Ifo business climate index slipped to 87.6 in December from 88.0 in November, its second monthly decline and below expectations for 88.2.
  • Company expectations worsened, with survey responses signaling a gloomier view of the first half of 2026.
  • Manufacturers report fewer new orders and plan to cut production, while services and trade deteriorated and construction remained weak.
  • Retailers describe a disappointing Christmas season, whereas gastronomy stood out with a strong December.
  • Analysts attribute the setback partly to missing broad reforms, noting that special federal funds are now available for infrastructure and defense as the Bundesbank projects slight Q4 growth ahead of a 2026 recovery.