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Gaza Phase Two Stalled as Israel and Hamas Clash Over Who Must Disarm First

Verified demilitarization before withdrawal has frozen implementation, leaving verification, enforcement, aid delivery unresolved.

Overview

  • President Trump said on July 30 that Hamas accepted a U.S.-brokered roadmap requiring full disarmament and a technocratic transfer of civilian authority as prerequisites for Phase Two of the Gaza plan.
  • Israel insists it will not withdraw forces until demilitarization is independently verified, while Hamas says it will not disarm unless Israeli troops pull back, creating a direct sequencing deadlock.
  • Foreign ministers of the UAE, Qatar, Jordan, Indonesia, Pakistan, Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Egypt issued a joint statement on August 6 condemning ongoing Israeli operations and warning those actions risk derailing Phase Two.
  • Humanitarian conditions in Gaza remain dire with many hospitals only partly functional, acute medicine shortages, limited aid deliveries and thousands of Palestinian casualties reported since the October ceasefire.
  • Key operational gaps — a neutral verification regime, an enforceable international stabilisation force, and reliable financing (including a reported but unconfirmed UAE $400 million pledge) — plus Israeli domestic politics, leave the plan vulnerable to collapse.