Overview
- Sean Farrell of Fundstrat brackets a possible ETH cycle low between $1,360 and $1,770 using realized-price history.
- In 2022 ETH bottomed about 39% below realized price, while early 2025 saw a rebound after a roughly 21% undershoot.
- ETH’s recent $1,747 low on Binance fits the shallower 2025-style scenario that could mark a tentative floor.
- On-chain metrics show multi-year-high accumulation and whale inflows roughly 30.7 times average, alongside exchange outflows.
- U.S. buying remains negative on the Coinbase Premium Index, and Farrell sees scope for an ~80% 12‑month rally if ETH holds above about $1,300.