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Funds Add Meta as Wall Street Sees 31% Upside Despite $115–$135 Billion 2026 AI Spend

The 2026 capex surge has knocked the stock lower, creating an entry point for bullish analysts.

Overview

  • Meta guided 2026 capital expenditures to $115 billion to $135 billion for data centers, GPUs and other AI infrastructure, nearly doubling planned 2025 outlays and stoking share volatility.
  • Advertising fundamentals remain strong, with Q4 ad revenue rising 24% to nearly $60 billion on Reels engagement and AI-powered ad tools.
  • Analysts remain broadly positive with a consensus 12‑month price target of $844 and 42 of 49 ratings at Buy, pointing to roughly 31% upside from recent levels.
  • Selective institutional buyers stepped in on weakness, including Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square, which disclosed 2.67 million Meta shares valued at over $1.76 billion in Q4 2025, even as overall hedge fund exposure declined over the quarter.
  • Meta expanded AI content access on March 4 through a multi-year News Corp licensing deal worth up to $50 million annually for at least three years to train models and power products.