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Friedman Predicts Erik Karlsson Could Become a Maple Leaf in 2026-27

The suggestion matters because Karlsson’s expiring high-cap contract plus a no-move clause would decide whether Toronto could realistically pursue him.

Overview

  • On Wednesday, Aug. 26, Elliotte Friedman said on the 32 Thoughts podcast that an unnamed source predicted Karlsson could join the Toronto Maple Leafs in 2026-27 depending on how both teams perform.
  • Coverage frames Friedman’s remark as conditional speculation rather than confirmation of active trade talks or that Pittsburgh is shopping Karlsson.
  • Karlsson remains a Penguin and arrives in the final year of his deal after a strong 2025-26 season when he posted roughly 15 goals and 66 points in 75 games, a performance that keeps him on contender radars.
  • Any trade would be complicated by Karlsson’s reported roughly $11.5 million cap hit and his full no-move clause, which means he must agree to any relocation and Toronto would likely need salary help or retention to fit him under the cap.
  • Kyle Dubas’s prior interest in Karlsson and his role in bringing the defenseman to Pittsburgh provide a personal connection to Toronto, but the move would only happen if Pittsburgh becomes a seller, Toronto chooses to be a buyer, and Karlsson accepts the change.