Overview
- A new Ipsos survey for Corriere della Sera estimates Roberto Fico at 53% in Campania versus 42.5% for Edmondo Cirielli, with minor candidates below 5%.
- In the same Campania poll, projected list shares place the PD at 19.5%, Fratelli d’Italia at 15%, Forza Italia at 12.6%, the M5S at 10.1% and the Lega at 4.1%.
- Ipsos polling in Veneto puts centre-right candidate Alberto Stefani at 62.8% to Giovanni Manildo’s 26.9%, as party-level readings show the Lega at 23.6% narrowly ahead of FdI at 23.2%, with analysts crediting a Zaia capolista effect.
- In Puglia, Ipsos reports Antonio Decaro at 63.8% against Luigi Lobuono at 33.1%, with the PD leading the party field at 23.5% and participation flagged as weak.
- Turnout is forecast to be sharply lower, with estimates around 48% in Veneto and 44% in Campania and about 43% in Puglia, while Noto’s national snapshot has FdI at 30.5%, the PD at 23% and the centre-right at 50.5% versus a 44% campo largo ahead of the 23–24 November vote.