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France Set for Mid‑November Warm Surge, With 20–25°C Nationwide and Peaks Above 25°C in the Southwest

Forecasters tie the brief spike to a North American cold outbreak that redirects warm North African air over France.

Overview

  • Operational forecasts point to a peak on Wednesday and Thursday, with 20–25°C widely and locally 26–28°C near the Pyrenees under foehn conditions.
  • Projected highs include about 25°C in Pau, 24°C in Biarritz, 22°C in Bordeaux and roughly 17–19°C in Paris, far above seasonal norms.
  • Strong winds are expected through the sequence, often 40–60 km/h with gusts potentially reaching 80–90 km/h in the South on Friday, where orange alerts are not excluded.
  • The warm spell is expected to fade from Friday as Atlantic fronts bring rain and a 5–8°C drop in parts of the country, returning conditions closer to normal over the weekend.
  • Some November records could be approached or broken, though Saharan dust may limit solar heating, and meteorologists note these out‑of‑season spikes are becoming more frequent in a warming climate.