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Former German Ambassador Says War Has Reached Moscow and Phone-Based Mobilization Is Likely

Drawing on three years in Moscow, he says pervasive state surveillance, contradictory propaganda and Ukrainian strikes on a Moscow‑area refinery have weakened Russian air defences, making rapid phone‑based conscription technically feasible.

Overview

  • Alexander Graf Lambsdorff, who served as Germany's ambassador in Moscow from 2023 to 2026 and has taken up the post in Israel, described his direct impressions in a widely reported podcast and interviews this week.
  • He said Vladimir Putin appeared physically well and decisive when Lambsdorff met him in December 2023, contradicting persistent public rumours about the president's health.
  • Lambsdorff recounted pervasive surveillance across Russia, citing FSB monitoring, cameras with facial recognition in Moscow metro stations, and automatic registration of licence plates even in rural areas.
  • He argued that Ukrainian strikes reaching deep into Russia, including a June attack on a large refinery near Moscow, have exposed gaps in Russia's air defence and made the war materially felt in the capital.
  • Lambsdorff warned a renewed mobilization is now more likely because Russia digitized its conscription registry, allowing authorities to send enlistment notices to phones and share them with border controls to block departures.