Overview
- Flávio Bolsonaro's campaign, which filed a complaint Tuesday with Brazil's top election court, asked to remove an AtlasIntel survey it says was skewed by question order and by playing an audio clip.
- AtlasIntel, contracted by Bloomberg, said the clip was played only at the end of the questionnaire and had no effect on vote scenarios, citing fieldwork from May 13–18, a 5,032-person sample, and a 1% margin of error.
- The poll showed Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 48.9% versus Bolsonaro at 41.8% in a simulated runoff, marking a drop from Bolsonaro’s 47.8% in an April 22 reading by the same firm.
- Sixty-four percent of respondents said the disclosed audio weakened Bolsonaro’s political standing, indicating the recordings are factoring into voter perceptions.
- The audio features Bolsonaro asking jailed banker Daniel Vorcaro for money to fund a film about Jair Bolsonaro, and the candidate has acknowledged meeting Vorcaro to seek financing, while the court has not yet ruled and the survey remains public.