Overview
- The St. Pete Polls survey, conducted Sept. 15–17 for Florida Politics, found Byron Donalds at 44% and David Jolly at 43% among 913 likely voters with a ±3.2 point margin of error.
- The poll shows sharp subgroup splits: Jolly leads independents and voters under 50 while Donalds dominates among Republicans and voters 50 and older.
- Donalds' campaign reported massive recent spending and more than $41 million on hand while Jolly has under $6 million and plans to conserve funds for October advertising.
- Debate plans are unresolved but consequential: Donalds' team agreed to three televised debates and Jolly's campaign is still finalizing dates and networks.
- An ethics complaint filed with the Office of Congressional Ethics over Donalds' past stock trades and Jolly's push for a statewide data-center moratorium add new lines of attack that could shift voter perceptions before Election Day.