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FIFA Weighs World Cup Seeding Overhaul That Could Lift Italy’s Draw Position

The unconfirmed plan would seed every pot by FIFA rankings, with a decision expected before the December 5 draw in Washington.

Overview

  • Reports from Football Meets Data and Calcio e Finanza, relayed by Football Italia and others, say FIFA is considering using world rankings to set all four group-stage pots.
  • Under the current system, teams qualifying via play-offs are placed in Pot 4, whereas the proposal would end automatic Pot 4 placement for those teams.
  • If adopted and if Italy qualify through the play-offs, their ranking could place them in Pot 1 rather than Pot 4, avoiding other top seeds in the group stage.
  • Analyses cited in the coverage suggest wider reshuffling across pots, with scenarios such as Germany moving to Pot 2 if Italy enter Pot 1.
  • Italy remain second in Group I, three points behind Norway with a large goal-difference gap, so a play-off route is likely and qualification is still required.