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Fetterman Favored by Pennsylvania Republicans as Democrats’ Support Collapses, Poll Finds

The sharp partisan split raises hard choices for his 2028 plans because it increases the risk of a tough Democratic primary and fuels talk of an independent run or party switch.

Overview

  • A New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena University poll fielded Aug. 17–21 found about 73% of Pennsylvania Republicans view Sen. John Fetterman favorably while roughly 22% of Democrats do, leaving his overall favorability near even.
  • The survey shows many Democrats believe Fetterman backs President Trump too often and is too supportive of Israel, a perception driven by his public statements and several high‑profile votes that diverged from most Senate Democrats.
  • Fetterman has said he has no plans to leave the Democratic Party but warned he would bolt if Democrats formally became the “anti‑Israel” party, a stance that has kept party‑switch speculation alive.
  • Republican senators including John Thune have publicly said they would welcome him, and Fetterman recently formed a joint fundraising arrangement with GOP Sen. Dave McCormick, moves that have intensified coverage of his options.
  • The split creates clear 2028 challenges: he would face a likely vulnerable Democratic primary, an independent run is legally and logistically difficult under Pennsylvania rules, and a GOP switch would require overcoming party screening and messaging limits.