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February 2026 Was Fifth-Warmest on Record at 1.49°C as Atmospheric Rivers Deluged Western Europe

Scientists link the exceptional downpours to warmer oceans driven by human-caused greenhouse-gas emissions.

Overview

  • Copernicus reports the month averaged 1.49°C above the 1850–1900 baseline, leaving it just short of the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C benchmark.
  • Exceptional atmospheric rivers delivered record rainfall and widespread flooding across western and southern Europe.
  • World Weather Attribution finds human-driven warming intensified rains that killed dozens and forced thousands from their homes in Spain, Portugal and Morocco.
  • A south-shifted polar jet stream helped steer a run of intense storms, while Europe saw stark contrasts with Scandinavia much colder even as Iberia and western France were wetter and warmer.
  • Arctic sea ice extent was about 5% below average for February, the third lowest on record, and UK breakdown data show a sharp rise in pothole-related incidents after the unusually wet winter.