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Experts Question Impact of Trump’s Drug-Price Deals With Pfizer and AstraZeneca

Economists warn the tariff-driven framework may do little for out-of-pocket costs.

Overview

  • Pfizer and AstraZeneca accepted MFN-style pricing for Medicaid, pledged discounted direct sales through a planned TrumpRx portal in 2026, and secured temporary relief from threatened 100% import tariffs in exchange for large U.S. investments, including Pfizer’s $70 billion and AstraZeneca’s $50 billion with a new Virginia plant.
  • Policy analysts say Medicaid already pays prices comparable to Europe, suggesting limited near-term savings from MFN commitments, and clinicians warn that cash discounts via TrumpRx may still leave many insured patients paying high costs outside their benefits.
  • Economists note TrumpRx mirrors existing cash options from GoodRx and Cost Plus and that only a small share of Americans buy drugs outside insurance, raising questions about the portal’s incremental value.
  • Multiple experts caution that price-pressure measures could curb innovation, citing research projecting sizable drops in new drug development under MFN-like policies and reduced early-stage R&D if expected prices fall sharply.
  • Tariff threats used to secure the deals could ultimately raise prices by disrupting global supply chains, and critics argue selective exemptions risk favoring large incumbents over smaller biotechs.