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Exit Poll Puts Golob Ahead in Slovenia’s Tight Parliamentary Election

Coalition bargaining looms in a fragmented 90-seat legislature.

Overview

  • An exit poll by Mediana for public broadcaster RTV Slo shows Robert Golob’s Freedom Movement near 30% and Janez Janša’s SDS at 27.5%.
  • Official preliminary results from Slovenia’s election authority were expected later in the night.
  • Analysts anticipate no single-party majority in the 90-seat parliament, making smaller parties pivotal to government formation.
  • Authorities opened a probe into alleged covert recordings linked to the SDS and the private firm Black Cube; Janša acknowledged contact with a Black Cube adviser but denied any electoral interference.
  • The vote weighs a liberal, pro‑EU course against a populist right turn, with sharp foreign‑policy contrasts including Golob’s 2024 recognition of a Palestinian state and Janša’s pro‑Israel stance.