Overview
- An exclusive Strength In Numbers poll reported by Balloon Juice finds independent Seth Bodnar ahead of Republican Kurt Alme 50% to 44% in a head‑to‑head matchup while Alme leads the current multi‑candidate ballot with 41%.
- The same poll shows Democrat Alani Bankhead would lose a two‑way race to Alme and that Bodnar only tops Alme when Bankhead is not on the ballot.
- Bankhead previously said she might withdraw if it helped the party but currently appears to be staying in the race, a choice commentators say could split anti‑Republican voters.
- The poll is a single‑source snapshot with limited public methodological detail so its findings should be treated with caution and not seen as definitive on their own.
- Three‑way races often produce plurality winners so party decisions about withdrawal could directly determine who wins the seat and shape which policies Montana voters see represented in Washington.